Tag Archives: 2012

The State of Polling

I am officially throwing my hands in the air on this one. In 2008, Obama won Washington State by 18 points, and Ohio by 4. So you expect a roughly 7 point differential between those two states when looking at … Continue reading

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Must be a new Apprentice season coming up…

I guess someone stopped paying attention to him for 5 seconds. I hope they learned their lesson! Donald Trump’s top political adviser told ABC News he’s speaking to “high-level political operatives” to explore a third-party bid for the real estate … Continue reading

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There’s Winners And There’s Losers But They Ain’t No Big Deal

Jonathan Bernstein notes that the consensus is that Perry did poorly last night, “but I’m not convinced that anything important happened at all.” He links to Jonathan Chait, who disagrees: The media seems to consider Romney the winner. Pardon the condescension, … Continue reading

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Perry Up Big In South Carolina

Still early, he can still be all things to all people among Republicans dissatisfied with the field, etc. etc. But this is something: Interestingly, Romney outperforms Perry in the general against Obama in South Carolina:

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Shot A Man In Plano Just To Watch Him Die

DougJ points out that Rick Perry probably put an innocent man to death, then prevented an investigation that threatened to uncover his innocence. It’s a terrible story for many reasons, of course. One reason– he’s since been re-elected as governor. … Continue reading

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Just Exactly What The Facts Is

John Ellis, who has another middle name or two somewhere because he’s part of the Bush family, says that Rick Perry is closer to the GOP nomination than some may think: The Republican “establishment,” such as it is, is quickly … Continue reading

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He’s A Fine Figure Of A Man And Handsome Too

I’ve been skeptical about Rick Perry’s chances; I still think Mitt Romney will be the GOP nominee. But this poll, a very rough proxy for grass-roots enthusiasm, makes me wonder: Sixty-four percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents said they are … Continue reading

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Unaccountable Predictions

So, the polls are saying some stuff about the GOP field today. Gallup: Rick Perry 29%, Romney 17%. PPP: Perry 33%, Romney 20%. My first instinct is to say that I’m no more impressed with the Perry boomlet than I … Continue reading

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The Man Who Put The Bang In Gang

Rootin’ tootin’ Rick Perry is the leader of the gang in Iowa: The race is pretty close four ways in Iowa but Rick Perry is the new favorite among Republican voters in the state. Among announced candidates he’s at 22% … Continue reading

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This Month’s Trump

So Rick Perry is at or near the top of the polls in North Carolina and Colorado, according to PPP. But the guy’s ostensible qualifications make no sense, and he’s not ready for prime time. I’d love for the GOP … Continue reading

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Rick Perry is THIS CLOSE to being in it

I’ve said all along that Romney can’t get the nomination. A lot can still happen, and Bachmann is always there on his heels, but I’ve come to the belief that if my prediction is going to come true, we need … Continue reading

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Will Republicans Vote For A Mormon?

A new Pew poll finds that the evangelical Christian base of the GOP is reluctant to vote for a Mormon for president: Among all Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, 31% of white evangelicals say they would be less likely to vote … Continue reading

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Oh, Perry? Hold On…

Ed Kilgore tries to tamp down the boomlet of Rick Perry 2012 enthusiasm from the punditocracy. Kilgore points out that voters in his home state of Texas really don’t want Perry to run, and would vote against Obama in larger … Continue reading

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I Saw Goody Bachmann With The Devil

dedc linked Matt Taibbi’s typically incendiary profile of Michele Bachmann; Michelle Goldberg’s is also worth reading. It hits the same themes as Taibbi’s– that Bachmann’s appeal derives entirely from her cultural identity, and therefore survives despite her series of misstatements … Continue reading

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The Mainstream Media’s Centrist Bias

The mainstream media is going wall-to-wall for the rational-sounding Jon Huntsman, while ignoring the much more popular, much more insane campaign of Herman Cain.  The media is airbrushing the facts, treating the feral, ignorant GOP as if it were a … Continue reading

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I mean, “strapping” is kind of a compliment…

Jeffrey Goldberg has a great interview with the most mystifying candidate in the GOP race, Herm Cain.  Over at Balloon Juice, ABL pointed out the stupidity of Cain saying Obama was raised in Kenya, but I think there’s more meat … Continue reading

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They Only Left Newt Because They Love America So Much

Newt Gingrich’s campaign has imploded: Newt Gingrich’s top staff quit en masse Thursday, throwing into question whether his already troubled presidential campaign can continue.  Two sources close to the situation confirmed that campaign manager Rob Johnson, strategists Sam Dawson and … Continue reading

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“Bye Bye Nomination” Rush Says Over Romney’s Climate Change Stance

Mitt Romney acknowledged reality about climate change last week, prompting GOP opinion leader Rush Limbaugh to proclaim, “Bye-bye, nomination!” Now, Limbaugh is not omnipotent; he invested a bunch of effort in knocking off McCain last time around, to no avail (at … Continue reading

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