In 2008, Rudy Giuliani led in GOP polls in the early going. But he wound up spending $50 million to win only one delegate. He had a problem that proved insurmountable: the more he campaigned, the lower his poll numbers went, because he is an extraordinarily unappealing politician and human being.
The Giuliani approach of contempt through familiarity is spreading like wildfire through the GOP field.
Fox News: “A Minnesota Public Radio/Humphrey Institute poll released Wednesday showed that 53 percent of those surveyed would probably not vote for Republican Gov. Tim Pawlenty for president even if he won the 2012 presidential primary.”
PPP: “51% of Massachusetts voters have an unfavorable opinion of Romney to only 40% who view him favorably. Republicans like him for the most part (a 75/14 favorability) and independents narrowly do so as well (50/44). But for a Republican to be popular in a deep blue state requires a lot of appeal to Democrats and that Romney has little of, with only 16% seeing him positively to 76% with an unfavorable opinion. Romney is no Scott Brown as far as appeal across party lines goes.”
US News: “PPP, a well-regarded Democratic firm, has measured Palin’s favorability in 10 states (ranging from battlegrounds like Ohio to predictably partisan places like Alaska and Massachusetts) for the last couple of months and–not surprisingly–she is uniformly under water. But of the 10 states, only voters in Massachusetts (27 percent approve and 68 percent disapprove) take a dimmer view of Palin than in Alaska (33/58).”
CNN: “According to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll, only four percent of Texas Republicans would support Republican Gov. Rick Perry in [the GOP primary for] a bid for the White House.”
PPP: “23% of GOP primary voters in the state say Mike Huckabee is their preference to be the party standard bearer next year to 22% for Gingrich, 16% for Herman Cain, 10% for Sarah Palin, 8% for Mitt Romney, 4% for Michele Bachmann, and 3% for Ron Paul and Tim Pawlenty.” (This poll isn’t as bad news for Gingrich as the other home-state polls are, particularly given that it was taken before Huckabee announced his non-candidacy).
SurveyUSA: “By 5:1, NJ Voters Say Governor Christie Should Not Run for President in 2012 … 38% of NJ adults approve of the job Christie is doing, 56% disapprove. … By 2:1, NJ voters say Christie would be a worse president than Barack Obama. … Voters split evenly on whether Christie would be better president than George W. Bush. … Among lower-income voters, Christie is Minus 32. Among upper income voters Christie is Minus 5.”